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The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal

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Management number 231815736 Release Date 2026/06/18 List Price US$9.31 Model Number 231815736
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How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk. Read more

ASIN B00YQ3KF5C
ISBN13 978-1421418810
Edition Annotated
Language English
File size 3.0 MB
Page Flip Enabled
Publisher Johns Hopkins University Press
Word Wise Enabled
Print length 522 pages
Accessibility Learn more
Screen Reader Supported
Publication date July 9, 2015
XRay for textbooks Enabled
Enhanced typesetting Enabled

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